Scenario catalogue for water resources and ecosystem services

#scenario analysis #climate change #population growth #water resources #ecosystem services
Conceptual framework for the scenarios. The arrows show the relative trend compared to the "Baseline" basic scenario. © Lysander Bresinsky
Conceptual framework for the scenarios. The arrows show the relative trend compared to the "Baseline" basic scenario. © Lysander Bresinsky

The scenario analysis shows the effects of external developments and provides support for decision-makers. The scenario catalogue contains the most important influencing factors on water resources and ecosystem services.

The scenario catalogue developed for the region of Israel and the West Bank consists of three exploratory scenarios of population growth and three narrative management scenarios each:

  • Regional nature conservation scenario (RNC): The RNC scenario assumes a political focus on the preservation or restoration of the local natural state and its water resources. The abstraction of water from local water resources is restricted and discrepancies between supply and demand are balanced out by importing virtual water (e.g. by importing food).
  • Baseline scenario (B): The baseline scenario is based on the continuation of the currently practiced plans and guidelines. Existing trends remain unchanged.
  • Regional resource intensive scenario (RRI): The RRI scenario takes into account a focus on economic growth, despite the extensive damage to local water resources and nature. The abstraction of water from local water resources is not restricted. High priority is given to industrial demand and local agricultural production, which reduces the import of virtual water.

The management factors of the individual scenarios were developed in close cooperation with local authorities. The scenario catalogue developed here can be transferred to other research projects and analysis methods.

Water resource: Drinking water, Groundwater, Process water, Rainwater, Salt water, Surface water, Treated water, Wastewater
Type of product:
  • Guides & educational materials
  • Management concepts & assessments
TRL: 4
    TRL (Technology Readiness Level)
  • TRL 1 - Basic principles observed
  • TRL 2 - Technology concept formulated
  • TRL 3 - Experimental proof of concept
  • TRL 4 - Technology validated in lab
  • TRL 5 - Technology validated in relevant environment (industrially relevant environment in the case of key enabling technologies)
  • TRL 6 - Technology demonstrated in relevant environment (industrially relevant environment in the case of key enabling technologies)
  • TRL 7 - System prototype demonstration in operational environment
  • TRL 8 - System complete and qualified
  • TRL 9 - Actual system proven in operational environment (competitive manufacturing in the case of key enabling technologies; or in space)
Application sector: Agriculture, Cities and municipalities, Industry, Natural water environment, Water resource management
Funding measure: GRoW
Project: MedWater

Contact and partners


Logo Georg-Augustin-Universität Göttingen, Angewandte Geologie
  • Georg-Augustin-Universität Göttingen, Angewandte Geologie,
  • Goldschmidtstraße 3,
  • 37077 Göttingen
https://www.uni-goettingen.de/de/8483.html

Georg-Augustin-Universität Göttingen, Angewandte Geologie,
Göttingen

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